This past Tuesday night was a rough one for Republicans. They saw the Democrats retain the governor’s mansion in Virginia and pick up the one in New Jersey. Also, they erased the 34-seat advantage the Republicans had in Virginia’s House of Delegates, as final control of the House of Delegates is to be determined by recounts. In Maine, we saw them vote for Medicaid expansion and we saw several hotly contested mayor’s races go to the Democrats. This is an off year election so the dynamics are different than midterm or presidential election years. Only a small part of the country held elections last night, but the results do raise the question: Are Tuesday’s election results a bad sign for Republicans in next year’s midterm elections?
People who feel this is a bad sign for Republicans argue that these results are a backlash against President Trump and his policies. They see this as a clear sign that the president is going to be an anchor around Republican candidates nationwide, going forward into next year. It is not just that the Democrats won; it is by the margins that they did and their wins in areas that are traditionally Republican areas that also prove that the Republicans are in trouble next year. Finally, they viewed last year’s election as being about Hillary Clinton. Tuesday’s results were all about Donald Trump and that means the Republicans are in big trouble.
Those who feel that Tuesday’s results are not a bad sign argue that the Democrats won in New Jersey and Virginia, two states that Hillary Clinton won last year. The feel that New Jersey is traditionally a Democrat state that had an unpopular Republican governor, and it would have been a much bigger story if the Republicans had won there. Virginia is a state that had a popular Democrat governor stepping down due to term limits and being won by his lieutenant governor. Finally, the midterm elections are a year away and that is a lifetime in politics. There is no way to predict what will happen next year by what happened this year.
CBS News covering the 2017 election results:
Were the big victories for the Democrats on election night a bad sign for Republicans? Is this a clear indication that the country doesn’t like what the Republicans in Congress and the president are doing? Or, did the Democrats win some races they should have won anyway?
Yes, the election results are a bad sign for Republicans
Those who feel the results are a bad sign say that this election was all about President Trump and he will be the cause of their defeat next year, just like in this past election.
Also this is one of the first big elections since Trump won and Virginia is seen as a bellwether state. These results show a strong backlash to his policies. They could also serve to scare Congress into behaving itself better.
— Loretta Ross (@lorettasueross) November 8, 2017
Nothing says ‘Happy 1st Anniversary, President Trump’ like a wave of Democrat wins, including winning a bellwether race for Governor and an openly transgender woman being elected to high office.
— Jake Johnstone (@hijakejohnstone) November 8, 2017
Now its time for him to loose.The democrats are going to gain control of the house and the senate in 2018.The writing is on the wall for Trump and his crew.
— keith delaney (@KEITHD13) November 8, 2017
Huge relief after seeing the regional election results. The Democratic victory in Virginia will stand as a bellwether for Democrats.
— Julian de Medeiros (@medeirostweets) November 8, 2017
No, the election results were not a bad sign for Republicans
People who feel the results are not a bad sign say that all the Democrats did was win races in states that Hillary Clinton won last year. They feel that it would have been a much bigger deal if the Democrats had lost, rather than won.
But NJ did not vote for trump in the first place. This is not surprising nor is it news.
— Alli (@alli_bachmann) November 8, 2017
Trump lost VA in the General Election. So please change or check your talking points, and Gillespie is more Republican like Bill Kristol, in the age of MAGA, do not expect Dems like me who voted @realDonaldTrump to vote for Gillespie, there was not enthusiasm to do just that.
— Kelechi Mbiamnozie (@kmbiamnozie) November 8, 2017
Bill, get out of your basement office. Hillary won both Virginia and New Jersey. Not a bellwether on 2018!!
— John Walles (@johnwalles) November 8, 2017
The Democrats won a state who voted Hillary, who’s sitting governor is a Democrat and you think it’s evidence of a “Blue Wave”? Seriously? https://t.co/C5lfY3CWdy
— Patriots Flame (@majorgarrett69) November 8, 2017
Do you think that Tuesday’s results are a bad sign for Republicans?